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Transforming Natural Disaster Management with Big Data, AI, and Multi-Source Analysis

TEMA pilot in Germany ©BRK

Efstathios Kassios, EU project manager at KEMEA - Center for Security Studies

The frequency and intensity of extreme natural disasters has been escalating, driven by climate change. For this reason, effective disaster management is more critical than ever. From wildfires in Greece to devastating flash floods in Central Europe, the need for quick and informed responses dominates the research industry. Big data, artificial intelligence (AI) and the integration of multiple and heterogeneous data sources are revolutionizing natural disaster management (NDM) by enhancing prediction, response, and recovery. Projects like the EU-funded TEMA (Trusted Extremely precise Mapping and prediction for emergency management) represent this transformation, leveraging advanced technologies to save lives and mitigate damage for civil protection.

AI enhances big data’s potential by employing machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), and natural language processing (NLP) to extract actionable insights. Predictive models analyze historical or real-time data to forecast disaster risks, enabling proactive measures like early warning systems (EWS) and evacuation planning. A 2024 study in ScienceDirect [1] notes that AI driven models, such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs), excel in identifying affected areas in satellite imagery, supporting flood mapping and earthquake damage assessment. TEMA’s use of explainable AI (XAI) further improves trust and transparency, addressing the complicated nature of neural networks by making AI decisions interpretable for first responders. For example, XAI techniques like Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) help clarify how AI models prioritize certain data, ensuring reliable decision making during extreme weather phenomena like wildfires and floods.

The integration of multiple and heterogeneous data sources is revolutionizing NDM. Social media platforms as mentioned in a 2022 Springer [2] study, provide real-time data on public needs and discomfort during disasters. Tools like the Artificial Intelligence Digital Response (AIDR) platform [3] processes tweets to identify urgent humanitarian needs, reducing response delays. TEMA combines social media with drone footage, meteorological models, and other data to create dynamic, semantically annotated 3D maps. These maps, visualized through Extended Reality (XR) interfaces, allow responders to simulate response strategies and optimize mission planning, such as drone navigation during floods in Greece or fire management in Sardinia. Big Data has the ability to aggregate and visualize such diverse data sources enhancing situational awareness while accelerating recovery efforts

Visualization is critical for translating complex data into actionable insights. TEMA’s platform, offers interactive visualizations that help decision makers evaluate response strategies in real time. For instance, during the 2021 Sardinia wildfires, TEMA’s system could integrate satellite images, drone videos and meteorological forecasts to visualize fire spread and recommend mitigation strategies. Similarly, cloud based platforms enable collaborative visualization, allowing stakeholders to share data and coordinate responses across regions. These tools ensure that critical information reaches first responders and policymakers swiftly, enhancing resilience for Natural Disaster Management.

In conclusion, big data, AI, and multi-source analysis are transforming NDM by enabling precise predictions, rapid responses and enhanced recovery. Even though integrating heterogeneous data sources demands robust infrastructure to handle data volume and velocity in processing, projects like TEMA demonstrate the power of these technologies in creating resilient civil protection professionals, offering an innovative blueprint for future disaster management strategies.

Sources:

[1] ScienceDirect: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24005247

[2] Springer: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s44163-022-00026-4

[3] AIDR: https://aidr.qcri.org/ 

[4] TEMA EU Project: https://tema-project.eu/